SECURE DIGITAL MARKETS
Daily Market Brief
Wednesday, March 25, 2026
Morning Edition · Generated by SDM Trade Studio
BTC / USD
$71,383
+2.14%
ETH / USD
$2,179
+2.34%
SOL / USD
$92.40
+3.27%
BTC Dom.
56.6%
BTC Funding
0.0082%
Longs pay
CME Basis
4.20%
6.8% ann.
Net ETF Flow
-$3,851M
Outflow
SDM Research · Institutional Digital Assets
BTC extends recovery above $71k as risk-on sentiment returns across digital assets
BTC Price
$71,383
+2.14% (24h)
Perp Funding Rate
1bp
Normalized · 8h rate
ETF Flow (24h)
-$3,851M
Net outflow
Broad-based altcoin outperformance led by HYPE (+5.84%) and ADA (+4.74%)
ETF outflows persist with $3.85B combined negative flows across BTC and ETH
Funding rates remain elevated at 0.82% BTC suggesting continued bullish positioning
CME basis widens to 4.20% indicating institutional contango structure firming
Bitcoin consolidates near key support as macro uncertainty weighs
Source: SDM Research · The Block · CoinDesk · Cointelegraph · Blockworks · Summarized by Claude (Anthropic)
Macro & Geopolitical
Global macro conditions remain supportive for risk assets as Treasury yields stabilize and equity markets extend gains. The DXY retreated from recent highs while oil prices found support above technical levels, creating a constructive backdrop for digital asset flows. Geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe continue to underpin safe-haven demand for both traditional and alternative stores of value.
10Y Treasury
4.38%
+3bps from prior close
S&P 500
5,284
+0.34% pre-market
Gold (XAU)
$2,042
+0.91% (risk-off bid)
Fed dovish pivot expectations grow as inflation metrics show continued moderation trends
European Central Bank signals measured approach to rate cuts amid growth concerns
China stimulus measures provide support for commodity-linked digital asset sectors globally
Middle East tensions maintain elevated oil prices supporting energy-backed crypto mining operations
Japan intervention risks diminish as USD/JPY stabilizes below critical technical levels
Source: Reuters · Foreign Policy · BBC World · The Guardian · CFR · Summarized by Claude (Anthropic)
Market Overview
Digital assets posted broad-based gains with BTC recovering 2.14% to $71,383 amid renewed risk appetite across traditional markets. Total market capitalization expanded to $2.52T with Bitcoin dominance holding steady at 56.6%, indicating balanced flows between large-cap and alternative tokens.
BTC Technical Analysis — Daily & 4H
$84,250$79,500$65,500$63,000$60,250
EMA 20EMA 50EMA 200
BTC Daily — 90 Days$71,456+1.33%
RSI (14)
BTC 4H — 30 Days$71,456-0.28%
RSI (14)
Source: Kraken Public OHLC API · EMA & RSI computed client-side · Key levels are indicative only
Top Coins — 5-Day Normalized Returns

Hourly close prices for 24 major cryptocurrencies, normalized to percentage change from the start of the 5-day window. Excludes stablecoins (flat line), BNB (not listed on Kraken), and HYPE/USDS/MNT (not available). Data: Kraken public OHLC API.

Done — 24/24 coins loaded
-10%+0%+10%+20%+30%Mar 20Mar 21Mar 22Mar 23Mar 24
TAO+32.0%
TON+9.4%
XLM+6.9%
APT+6.7%
UNI+5.3%
AAVE+4.9%
LINK+4.5%
SOL+3.9%
DOGE+3.8%
PEPE+3.8%
HBAR+2.6%
AVAX+2.6%
ADA+2.3%
ETH+2.3%
BTC+2.3%
LTC+2.0%
SHIB+1.8%
BCH+1.7%
SUI+0.9%
TRX+0.6%
XRP-1.1%
NEAR-2.3%
ICP-3.2%
DOT-9.9%
Source: Kraken Public OHLC API · Hourly candles · 24 coins · Normalized to % from T-5 days
Top 10 by Market Cap
1. Bitcoin (BTC)
$71,383
2. Ethereum (ETH)
$2,179
4. BNB (BNB)
$648.26
5. XRP (XRP)
$1.42
7. Solana (SOL)
$92.40
8. TRON (TRX)
$0.3099
10. Dogecoin (DOGE)
$0.0975
13. Cardano (ADA)
$0.2727
14. Hyperliquid (HYPE)
$40.55
15. Bitcoin Cash (BCH)
$476.63
Stablecoins — Top 5
Tether (USDT)
$0.9998
USDC (USDC)
$0.9998
USDS (USDS)
$1.0000
Ethena USDe (USDE)
$0.9995
USD1 (USD1)
$0.9991
Derivatives — Funding, CME Basis & Open Interest
Funding rates remain elevated with BTC at 0.82% and ETH at 0.61%, suggesting persistent long bias among leveraged traders despite recent volatility. CME basis expanded to 4.20% (6.80% annualized), reflecting institutional demand for structured exposure through regulated futures markets.
Funding & Basis
BTC Perp Funding (8h)
0.0082%
ETH Perp Funding (8h)
0.0061%
CME Front-Month Basis
4.20%
CME Annualised Premium
6.80%
Open Interest
BTC Open Interest
$18.4B
Perps + Futures
ETH Open Interest
$5.2B
Perps + Futures
ETF Flows & Approval Odds
ETF outflows continued with combined negative flows of $3.85B across BTC (-$2.97B) and ETH (-$828M) products. The persistent redemption pattern suggests institutional rotation may be driven by portfolio rebalancing rather than directional sentiment shifts.
Combined Net ETF Flow Today: -$3,851M USD — BTC + ETH + SOL Spot ETFs
BTC Spot ETFs
IBIT
-$2,121M
FBTC
-$309M
BITB
-$86M
ARKB
-$110M
BTCO
-$2M
EZBC
-$7M
BRRR
-$2M
HODL
-$36M
BTCW
-$1M
GBTC
-$208M
BTC
-$88M
Net Total-$2,969M
ETH Spot ETFs
ETHA
-$580M
FETH
-$67M
ETHW
-$17M
CETH
-$34M
ETHV
-$1M
QETH
-$0M
EZET
-$1M
ETHE
-$38M
ETH
-$89M
Net Total-$828M
SOL Spot ETFs
GSOL
-$11M
SOLZ
-$25M
SOLT
-$18M
Net Total-$54M
Polymarket — ETF Approval Probability
SOL ETF Approval (2025)
72%
Possible
XRP ETF Approval (2025)
81%
Likely
Multi-Coin Index ETF (2025)
54%
Possible
Economic Calendar
Core PCE data on March 27th represents the primary macro catalyst ahead of April NFP release.
Upcoming Events (30 Days)
Mar 27Core PCE — Feb PCECPI
8:30 AM ET2d
Apr 3Non-Farm Payrolls — AprNFP
8:30 AM ET9d
Apr 10CPI YoY — AprCPI
8:30 AM ET16d
Apr 15SEC ETF Deadline — SOLSEC
EOD21d
Source: Federal Reserve · BLS · BEA · SEC.gov
© 2026 Secure Digital Markets
Generated by SDM Trade Studio · sdm.io
This brief is prepared for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Digital assets involve substantial risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.